Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 110.824744 127.972132 148.326798 174.684954 208.552274 2.515481e+02 311.900987
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 87.056031 107.360070 134.087684 173.243548 231.842853 3.215507e+02 482.284032
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 73.626766 94.311580 123.266753 169.125949 245.268038 3.793796e+02 675.566110
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 65.320375 86.122636 116.665148 168.190594 261.691947 4.491792e+02 964.622474
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 59.559697 80.430675 112.332047 169.200710 281.160726 5.363009e+02 1434.413229
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 53.699542 73.696974 105.114364 163.330497 284.976069 5.912566e+02 1935.266794
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 51.333165 71.966308 105.594467 171.307949 320.828523 7.596059e+02 3644.842699
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 47.229986 66.979656 99.819284 165.927466 323.977357 8.342498e+02 5406.924691
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 44.678409 64.233922 97.542026 167.076113 344.037982 9.936653e+02 10850.805362
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 41.968898 60.954095 93.877808 164.541211 353.441269 1.126005e+03 22652.000139
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 41.447689 61.301301 96.869797 177.228286 413.402305 1.627759e+03 771210.989810
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 41.894155 63.346319 103.353283 199.856731 522.488273 2.919362e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 39.501348 60.342187 99.946850 198.541482 550.507589 3.813570e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 37.255727 57.449728 96.499895 196.650854 577.874482 5.103671e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 35.024820 54.381016 92.292382 191.700096 589.227085 6.448738e+03 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 33.332359 52.175519 89.648758 190.575658 619.807044 9.269145e+03 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 31.979655 50.497631 87.936907 191.789822 665.648882 1.547223e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 30.186295 47.840669 83.782721 184.742932 659.831128 1.936463e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 29.636770 47.548026 84.874935 194.324801 769.048978 7.403928e+04 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 28.144279 45.294236 81.248853 187.857743 764.507781 1.215004e+05 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 27.231348 44.130781 80.038560 189.236812 822.168806 1.123512e+06 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 26.141776 42.543196 77.677366 186.194527 843.334645 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 26.078543 43.019656 80.283370 201.461838 1057.116211 NaN NaN